An aerial view of an oil rig in the ocean at sunset, with other rigs in the distance.
Featured

2025 outlook

Upstream oil & gas: region-by-region predictions for 2025

It’s shaping up to be a year of mixed messages for the upstream sector in 2025. So what are the key themes to look out for?

Get complimentary reports from our 2025 Outlook series, including:

  • Global upstream: 5 things to look for in 2025
  • North Sea
  • US Lower 48
  • Middle East
  • And more.

1 minute read

Global upstream: 5 things to look for in 2025

While all four of our global energy transition outlook scenarios remain possible, the potential for a delayed transition scenario is increasing. The upstream industry's confidence in longer-term demand resilience is therefore growing.

But while next year will present a host of opportunities for global upstream players, there are plenty of challenges to navigate too. Improving upstream sentiment comes at a time of high geopolitical tensions, and both supply and demand concerns. Near-term price weakness may belie longer-term market strength, setting 2025 up to be a year of mixed messages.

Our global team of experts have drawn on unique insight from Lens Upstream to put together our annual round-up of predictions for the year ahead – plus a few wildcards to watch out for.

Key themes include:

  • Upstream will obsessively focus on efficiency
  • Resource capture will be back in vogue
  • M&A will be high on strategic agendas
  • Americas liquids growth won’t just come from the Permian
  • Will a new wave of LNG projects take shape?

Fill in the form at the top of the page for your complimentary copy of Global upstream: 5 things to look for in 2025.

Plus, drill down into our predictions for your region with this series of complimentary insights:

  • Opinion

    Asia Pacific

    Will Asia Pacific's recent hot streak in attracting renewed interest from the Majors and other IOCs continue in 2025?

  • Opinion

    Canada

    Canada's production growth carries on. But there are important nuances underneath total volume numbers.

  • Opinion

    Caspian

    The Caspian upstream sector approached 2025 in need of a reset.

  • Opinion

    Continental Europe

    Continental Europe is intensifying efforts to bolster energy security through increased gas production.

  • Opinion

    Latin America

    The Latin America upstream sector will continue with its successful track record of expanding production but will also face challenges in 2025.

  • Opinion

    Middle East & North Africa

    From the impact of 'Trump 2.0' to increased supply chain pressure, deepening gas deficits in Iraq, Iran and Egypt and exploration highlights.

  • Opinion

    North Sea

    After the fallout and uncertainty around the UK windfall tax, companies and government may put their differences aside and agree on an EPL successor.

  • Opinion

    Sub-Saharan Africa

    From exploration in the deepwater Atlantic margin to LNG momentum and licensing rounds, a look at key themes this year.

  • Opinion

    US Gulf of Mexico

    With a new administration and refreshed focus on domestic production growth set to take effect in January, the regulatory future looks bright.

  • Opinion

    US Lower 48

    The overarching theme for the US Lower 48 next year will be change. The question is: how much?

Also in this series: