Insight
Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) and shifting South Atlantic gas price dynamics
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Report summary
This time last year, Transco pipeline maintenance ahead of a significant early summer heatwave would result in one of the most memorable South Atlantic gas market basis dislocations in recent memory. Inclusion of Mountain Valley Pipeline (MVP) permitting in the recently passed Fiscal Responsibility Act (FRA) suggest that relief is on the way for at least a portion of the supply-constrained region. However, MVP start-up is not a cure all, and our outlook suggests diverging price risks for the Transco Zone 5 and Southeast market regions. In this timely insight, we seek to answer: • What were the causes behind the significant regional price spikes in summer 2022? • How will MVP and other planned infrastructure projects impact South Atlantic flows? • What will the pricing relationship at Transco Zones 4 and 5 look like going forward?
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